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PlanScore bases its scores on predicted precinct-level votes for each office (State House, State Senate, and U.S. House) built from past election results and U.S. Census data. More information about the predictive model used to score this plan.
Not enough information to calculate this score.
Sensitivity testing shows us a plan’s expected efficiency gap given a range of possible vote swings. It lets us evaluate the durability of a plan’s skew.
Not enough information to calculate this score.
Not enough information to calculate this score.
Not enough information to calculate this score.
Section 5003(c)(3) of the FTVA specifies that partisan fairness should be assessed using a state's two most recent elections for U.S. President and two most recent elections for U.S. Senate.
Precinct-level presidential vote data used by this model is mostly sourced from the
Voting and Election Science Team
at University of Florida and Wichita State University.
*
Scenarios are part of
the predictive model used to score this plan.
†
50%+ chance of one or more party flips assuming the plan is
used for one decade with five State House elections, five U.S.
House elections, or three State Senate elections.
‡
Enacted U.S. House,
State House,
and State Senate
plan metrics are featured in our
historical dataset.