Wisconsin State Assembly Model (version 3)

June 2018

PlanScore bases its scores on predicted precinct-level votes for Wisconsin State Assembly built from past election results and U.S. Census data. To predict future major-party results, we compare precinct-level results from 2016 State Assembly races with the 2016 Clinton/Trump presidential election.

We obtained results from Wisconsin’s Legislative Technology Services Bureau and OpenElections, and entered them into our ordinary least squares regression model. Browse model code and data on Github.