Wisconsin State Senate Model (version 2)

March 2018

PlanScore bases its scores on predicted precinct-level votes for Wisconsin State Senate built from past election results and U.S. Census data. To predict future major-party results, we compare precinct-level results from 2016 State Senate races with the 2016 Clinton/Trump presidential election.

We obtained results from Wisconsin’s Legislative Technology Services Bureau and OpenElections, and entered them into our ordinary least squares regression model. Browse model code and data on Github.