Pennsylvania U.S. Congressional Model (version 8)

August 2018

PlanScore bases its scores on predicted precinct-level votes for Pennsylvania U.S. Congressional built from past election results and U.S. Census data. To predict future major-party results, we compare precinct-level results from 2016 U.S. Congressional races with the 2016 Clinton/Trump presidential election.

We entered all 2016 results into our ordinary least squares regression model. Browse model code and data on Github.