North Carolina U.S. Congressional Model (version 6)
November 2019
PlanScore bases its scores on predicted precinct-level votes for North Carolina U.S. Congressional races built from past election results and U.S. Census data. To predict future major-party results, we compare precinct-level results from 2018 U.S. Congressional races with the 2016 Clinton/Trump presidential election.
We obtained all results from North Carolina’s State Board of Elections and entered them into our ordinary least squares regression model:
Browse model code and data on Github.